Last week, The Pew Internet and American Life Project released this year's "The Future of the Internet IV" its fourth look at how the Internet is changing our daily lives. The organizers asked some 900 or so smart thinkers, industry pros and academic leaders the following questions: * Will Google make us stupid?
* Will the internet enhance or detract from reading, writing, and rendering of knowledge?
* Is the next wave of innovation in technology, gadgets, and applications pretty clear now, or will the most interesting developments between now and 2020 come “out of the blue”?
* Will the end-to-end principle of the internet still prevail in 10 years, or will there be more control of access to information?
* Will it be possible to be anonymous online or not by the end of the decade?
Some of the surveyed responses to the questions help form the Pew report. Here's a sampling.
* Will Google make us stupid?
"What the Net does is shift the emphasis of our intelligence, away from what might be called a meditative or contemplative intelligence and more toward what might be called a utilitarian intelligence. The price of zipping among lots of bits of information is a loss of depth in our thinking." - Nicolas Carr
* Will the internet enhance or detract from reading, writing, and rendering of knowledge?
"We are currently transitioning from reading mainly on paper to reading mainly on screens. As we do so, most of us read MORE, in terms of quantity (word count), but more promiscuously and in shorter intervals and with less dedication. As these habits take root, they corrupt our willingness to commit to long texts, as found in books or essays. We will be less patient and less able to concentrate on long-form texts. This will result in a resurgence of short-form texts and story-telling, in ‘Haiku-culture’ replacing ‘book-culture.’" – Andreas Kluth, writer, Economist magazine
* Is the next wave of innovation in technology, gadgets, and applications pretty clear now, or will the most interesting developments between now and 2020 come “out of the blue”?
"For me augmented reality has to be the future for 2020, together with it's close cousin the internet of things. I think that these two will grow up together over the coming years, and slowly creep more and more into our daily lives as more and more devices become web enabled, and the ability to connect to the web becomes ubiquitous. It will become commonplace to be able to overlay reviews of a product simply by pointing a screen at it, or check the weather forecast by pointing your phone at the sky." – Rich Osborne, Web Innovation Officer, University of Exeter
* Will the end-to-end principle of the internet still prevail in 10 years, or will there be more control of access to information?
"This will be an ongoing debate, particularly when traditional organizations see the Internet encroaching on their legitimacy and relevance in the Internet Age. These groups will flail around to protect their business models and perceived relevance, but there will be equally powerful capabilities emerging from the Internet community that will break through/counter those new controls/restrictions on the flows of information." -- Richard Forno, Software Engineering Institute, Carnegie Mellon University
* Will it be possible to be anonymous online or not by the end of the decade?
"The key here is ‘publicly disclosing’ -- that is, folks can maintain anonymity in the basic sense, but there will be more technical ways to identify the user, even by associations and patterns as well as IP. That is, folks will continue to be able to choose to post things anonymously -- more accurately, via pseudonym, where they have an ongoing identity, but not their identifiable real self -- but there will also be more systems requiring identification." -- Ron Rice, University of California, Santa Barbara
The Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project produces reports exploring the impact of the Internet on families, communities, work and home, daily life, education, health care, and civic and political life. The Project aims to be an authoritative source on the evolution of the Internet through surveys that examine how Americans use the Internet and how their activities affect their lives. Always a good read.

















